Physical Address

304 North Cardinal St.
Dorchester Center, MA 02124

Donald Trump Flips Wisconsin in New Poll

With less than a month until Election Day, a newly released poll shows former President Donald Trump taking the lead in Wisconsin, tightening the race in the so-called Blue Wall battleground states.
Quinnipiac University’s poll of likely voters shows Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead lessening from its September 18 polling. Wednesday’s results show Trump receiving 48 percent of the vote in Wisconsin, with Harris at 46 percent.
“That was then, this is now,” said Tim Malloy, a polling analyst at Quinnipiac University. “The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow as Harris enters the last weeks slipping slightly in the Rust Belt.”
Harris is also losing in Michigan, according to the polling. She is receiving 47 percent of the vote, compared to Trump’s 50 percent. Michigan and Wisconsin voters favor Trump as the candidate who shares their values more, with 49 percent and 48 percent of those polled saying so, respectively.
In Pennsylvania, however, Harris has 49 percent to Trump’s 46 percent. In September, Harris led with 51 percent of the support, and Trump received 45 percent. Half the voters in Pennsylvania polled by Quinnipiac believe Harris is more aligned with their values.
“Three critical states take the measure of two candidates on the values that define who they are and how they align with voters,” Malloy said. “In a telling sign, the answers reflect the overall race with voters in Pennsylvania giving Harris the upper hand while voters are split in Michigan and Wisconsin.”
In this election cycle, the winner will need to carry some or all of the following seven battleground states: Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Harris’ clearest path to victory in November is to win the three so-called Blue Wall swing states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, barring any shock results elsewhere. In this scenario, she would need to win the one Electoral College vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, and polls suggest she is on course to do so.
Trump could win the 2024 election overall by beating Harris in the Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina and flipping Wisconsin.
The states have voters preferring Trump for potentially doing a better job handling the economy, immigration, the conflict in the Middle East and the U.S. military.
“The widening threat of a war encompassing the Middle East elbows its way into the long list of issues both candidates would confront the day they are sworn in, with Trump ahead on this issue in Wisconsin and Michigan,” Malloy said.
Harris is favored for her work with abortion rights and preserving democracy—except in Michigan, where she is down one point.
The results from Quinnipiac University’s polling seem to align with party allegiances. With 1,412 likely voters surveyed in Pennsylvania, the polling shows 94.4 percent of
Democrats supported Harris, while 90.9 percent of Republicans supported Trump. Among independents, 47 percent support Trump, 43 percent support Harris, and 3 percent support third-party candidates.
In Michigan, with 1,007 voters surveyed, Wednesday’s poll showed 96.3 percent of Republicans backing Trump, 98.1 percent of Democrats supporting Harris, and Independents divided with 48 percent for Trump and 46 percent for Harris.
Similarly, in Wisconsin, with 1,073 likely voters surveyed, 95.4 percent of Republicans are supporting Trump and 98.2 percent of Democrats are for Harris. Independents favor Trump, with 47 percent going to the Republican nominee and 43 percent supporting Harris.

en_USEnglish